2014 Emmy Predictions: Lead Actor in a Drama Series

The race for Lead Actor in a Drama got a lot more complicated in the last few weeks. With HBO’s announcement that True Detective, the race suddenly became incredibly crowded with two new contenders to possibly deal with.

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1. Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad: There is no way that 3-time Emmy winner Bryan Cranston is falling out of the category, especially after the incredibly beloved final season of Breaking Bad came to a close. However, his chances of winning greatly diminished when True Detective switched categories.
2. Matthew McConaughey, True Detective: Matthew McConaughey, who won his first Oscar earlier this year, has had one of the greatest two years of any actor in history. However, many are pointing to his performance in True Detective as his best.
3. Woody Harrelson, True Detective: McConaughey’s co-star Woody Harrelson has also received strong critical notices and benefits from his long and acclaimed career.
4. Kevin Spacey, House of Cards:Lastly, Kevin Spacey’s performance as Frank Underwood on House of Cards has become a cultural phenomenon, however he is hurt by the Emmys’ episode submission system.

After these four, the category is cut down to:

5. Jon Hamm, Mad Men: Hamm has not missed out on a nomination since the beginning of the series and I don’t see him being kicked out this late in the game, especially with the final season airing this year.
6. Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom: Although he was last year’s winner, had he not won I would have seen him as a one-and-done nominee. His win propels him into this spot, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he was pushed out.
7. Martin Sheen, Masters of Sex: In any other year he would be a lock, but with the category this crowded I think he just misses out. However, I can see him pushing Daniels out.
8. James Spader, The Blacklist: Again, in any other year he would probably get in. He is in the #1 new drama of the season in a complex role, but he is probably sitting this one out.

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