A Huge Shake-Up in the Oscar Race for Best Picture

"Gravity" and "!2 Years a Slave" both won at the PGA awards in an unprecedented tie.

“Gravity” and “12 Years a Slave” both won at the PGA awards in an unprecedented tie.

For the first time in history have two films tied for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures at the Producers Guild of America Awards. This is unprecedented.

Let me explain why this is such a shock. The voting system at the PGA Awards are very similar to that of the Oscars. Voters rank the nominees from 1-10. 1 being their favorite and 10 being their least favorite. The film with the most number 1 votes wins. If there is a tie then the movie with the most number 2 votes wins. If there is a tie there, then the film with the most number 3 votes wins, and so on and so forth. Each round the film with the fewest votes in the top spot is eliminated. For each picture eliminated their votes go to the following movie on their ballot depending on the round of voting we are in (if we are looking at the second ranked movie, then the voters third movie choice gets the votes.)

It is EXTREMELY hard for two films to tie, but this year they did. 12 Years a Slave and Gravity both received the award. This could spell doom for American Hustle’s Oscar chances.

These awards haven’t matched up with the Oscars only 7 times in the last 24 years since they began using this voting system. They also matched the Oscar winner for the last 6 years.

Since both groups (The Academy and Producers Guild of America) use the same voting system it is more likely for them to match winners. With 12 Years a Slave taking this award, the Golden Globe, and the Critics’ Choice it reaffirms it as the frontrunner. However, the question is whether this means Gravity still has a fighting chance for the Oscar. Or can we have a tie at the Oscars?

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