2014 Oscar Nominations Predictions: Best Original and Adapted Screenplay

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Best Original Screenplay is a bit of a crowded field, but five contenders, four of which are also contenders for Best Picture, have emerged as the frontrunners for nominations. Those five frontrunners are Blue Jamine, Nebraska, Her, Inside Llewyn Davis, and American Hustle. After those five there are a few possibilities that would depend on the group of writers voting for these nominations. Enough Said, Gravity, and Fruitvale Station could spoil one of these frontrunners’ parade.

Spike Jonze's "Her", which just won the Golden Globe for best screenplay, is the frontrunner in this race.

Spike Jonze’s “Her”, which just won the Golden Globe for best screenplay, is the frontrunner in this race.

Locked for a Nomination

1. Spike Jonze, Her (After a surprise Golden Globe win, Jonze’s wholly original screenplay is the one to beat here.)
2. Bob Nelson, Nebraska (Alexander Payne’s homage to the midwest has quickly picked up traction for Best Picture, so it only seems fitting that the film is honored for one of its strongest elements.)
3. David O’Russell and Eric Singer, American Hustle (The film has been receiving strong notices and has positioned itself as a potential spoiler in the Best Picture race.)
4. Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis (The Coen brothers are also Academy favorites in this category, and their homage to 60’s New York Folk music will be no exception.)

Safe Bet

5. Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine (Woody Allen has won tons of Oscars, but his category is Original Screenplay. Although the film has mostly been getting buzz for its performances, When Woody is in the race you better watch out.)

Potential Spoilers

"Nebraska" has been slowly making its way deeper into the Oscar race

“Nebraska” has been slowly making its way deeper into the Oscar race

6. Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station (Fruitvale Station is arguably the best debut of a director this year and although it picked up steam early in the season, it has quickly diminished. However, Coogler has a better chance of scoring a nod here than in the director race)
7. Nicole Holofcener, Enough Said (This is the only straight comedy in contention. The film gained much attention after its star and Emmy winner James Gandolfini passed away. However, the screenplay is quite strong on its own.)
8. Alfonso Cuarón and Jonas Cuarón, Gravity (The screenplay of this visually stunning film has been swept to the wayside in most reviews, but most of the visuals have been written in. If the Academy receives the film with open arms, it could be swept up in this category.)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Unlike the race for Original Screenplay, the race for Adapted Screenplay is pretty tame. There are really only 10 viable contenders and of those 10 only 6 seem to be in contention. Similarly to Original Screenplay four of those films are in contention for Best Picture.

Locked for a Nomination

1. John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave (The film is the frontrunner for Best Picture, and further than that the screenplay is pure poetry. At this point I would call it the winner.)

Some of cited "The Wolf of Wall Street" as one of Scorsese's best films

Some of cited “The Wolf of Wall Street” as one of Scorsese’s best films

2. Terrence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street (The film is another dark horse contender for Best Picture and Winter is respected within the industry, although this is only his third film. He also recently won the National Board of Review award in this category.)
3. Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope, Philomena (I think a lot of people are underestimating this film. It is a real crowd pleaser and efficiently juggles comedy and drama.)

Safe Bets

4. Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, & Richard Linklater, Before Midnight (It is the epic love story more than a decade in the making. The series has been highly praised and this film may be the most acclaimed of them all. The first installment of the series received a nomination for Original Screenplay.)

Fighting it Out For the Rest of the Spots

5. Tracy Letts, August: Osage County (Early on in the Oscar season the August: Osage County almost seemed like a lock for Best Picture. Today… not so much. Because of some mixed reviews the film has dropped out of contention, but it is the most apparent adaptation out of the lot.)
6. Billy Ray, Captain Phillips (The film’s buzz has been waning a bit lately, but it still looks like it is going to do well in nominations. It has a chance to sneak in here.)

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2 responses to “2014 Oscar Nominations Predictions: Best Original and Adapted Screenplay

  1. Pingback: 2014 Oscar Nominations: Complete List | Indecent Disclosure·

  2. Pingback: 2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary | Indecent Disclosure·

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